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Baseball Analysis  Michael Hoban, Ph.D


Chapter 14

 

The Best Players at Each Position

 

 Infielders and Catchers

 

 

The First Basemen with HOF Numbers

 

There are fourteen first basemen who played in the 20th century who have HOF numbers according to the NEWS monitor.  Here they are. 

 

All numbers include the 2006 season. 

Bold print = Hall of Famer

Italic = active player in 2006

CWS = Career Win Shares

CV = Core Value (sum of win shares for 10 best seasons)

NEWS = Career Value  =  CV  +  .25(CWS - CV)

 

                                                                                    CWS               CV                NEWS

 

 1.        Lou Gehrig                 (1923-1939)                489                  384                  410

 2.        Jimmie Foxx               (1925-1945)                435                  325                  353

 3.        Frank Thomas           (1990-       )                 383                  301                  322     

 4.        Willie McCovey         (1959-1980)                408                  285                  316

 5.        Dick Allen                    (1963-1977)                342                  304                  314

 6.        Eddie Murray (1977-1997)                437                  273                  314

 7.        Jeff Bagwell                  (1991-2005)                388                  287                  312     

 8.        Johnny Mize               (1936-1953)                339                  296                  307

 9.        Harmon Killebrew      (1954-1975)                374                  279                  303

10.       Mark McGwire            (1986-2001)                342                  283                  298

11.       Rafael Palmeiro            (1986-2005)                387                  257                  290

12.       Will Clark                     (1986-2000)                331                  269                  285

 

18.       Hank Greenberg        (1930-1947)                267                  262                  263     

20.       Bill Terry                    (1923-1936                  278                  255                  261     

 

As you can see, twelve of the fourteen first basemen with HOF numbers have a NEWS score of 280 or better while two others (Hank Greenberg and Bill Terry) have SAG numbers (a NEWS score of 255 with less than 1800 games played). 

 

Eight of these players are already in the Hall – with Lou Gehrig and Jimmie Foxx emerging with the best numbers.  And Frank Thomas has established himself as the best first baseman of the second half of the century.  I think that Frank Thomas and Jeff Bagwell will have no great trouble being elected when eligible.   Dick Allen, of course, is a different story.  He was on the ballot of the Veteran’s Committee for 2007.  Despite having the best numbers, he got only 13.4% of the vote – so it does not look like he is ever going to make it.  He will continue to be the position player with the best numbers who has been eligible and who is not in the Hall.

 

Mark McGwire and Rafael Palmeiro have both been stained by the “steroids scandal.”  Big Mac was on the BBWAA ballot for the first time in 2007 and got only 23.5% of the vote.  Will he ever make it?  Who knows.  And Palmeiro has no chance unless McGwire is voted in first.  Will Clark has been terribly underrated.  He appeared on the 2006 BBWAA ballot for the first time and got less than 5% of the vote so he will not appear again.

 

Of these fourteen first basemen, only five played during the first half of the century while nine played after 1950.

 

 

The Other First Basemen in the Top 25

 

Here are the eleven other first basemen who round out the top 25 at the position.

 

                                                                        CWS               CV                NEWS

 

13.       Jim Thome                                          304                  265                  275

14.       Jason Giambi                                      283                  271                  274

15.       Tony Perez                                         349                  249                  274

16.       Orlando Cepeda                                 310                  251                  266     

17.       Keith Hernandez                                   311                  248                  264

19.       Fred McGriff                                      326                  240                  262

21.       Norm Cash                                          315                  241                  260

22.       John Olerud                                        301                  239                  255

23.       Carlos Delgado                                   262                  248                  252

24.       George Sisler                                     292                  239                  252     

25.       Don Mattingly                                       263                  241                  247

 

And here are two first basemen who are in the Hall of Fame but did not make the top 25.

 

Jim Bottomley                                                258                  214                  225

Frank Chance                                     237                  206                  214

 

Note that there are a total of five first basemen who are in the Hall but do not have HOF numbers according to the NEWS monitor.

 

Jim Thome, Jason Giambi and Carlos Delgado were still active in 2006.  It looks as if Thome and Giambi will indeed reach the 280 NEWS benchmark.  So, Thome should have a good shot at the Hall.  But Giambi has “steroid suspicions” which might hurt his chances.  Delgado appears to be a long shot to reach the 280 mark.

 

Besides Mark McGwire (mentioned above), there were three other first basemen on the 2007 BBWAA ballot: Steve Garvey, Don Mattingly and Wally Joyner.  Only Mattingly is among the top 25 above.  Garvey got 21% of the vote, Mattingly got 10% and Joyner got 0 votes – so none of the three appears to have a chance at election.  Here are the numbers for Garvey and Joyner.

 

                                                            CWS               CV                NEWS

 

Steve Garvey                                        279                  215                  231

Wally Joyner                                        253                  203                  216     

 

Gil Hodges and Mickey Vernon were two first basemen who were on the 2007 Veteran’s Committee ballot for the Hall.  Neither is among our top 25 first basemen.  Hodges got 61% of the vote and may have a chance – if the VC ever elects anyone to the Hall.  Vernon got only 17% and appears to have no chance.  Here are their numbers.

 

Mickey Vernon                                    296                  223                  241     

Gil Hodges                                           263                  221                  232

 

 

The Second Basemen with Hall of Fame Numbers

 

According to the NEWS monitor, there are eleven 20th century second basemen who have Hall of Fame numbers.  Here they are.

 

                                                                                  CWS                 CV                NEWS

 

 1.        Eddie Collins              (1906-1930)                574                  376                  426

 2.        Rogers Hornsby         (1915-1937)                502                  381                  411

 3.        Joe Morgan                (1963-1984)                512                  341                  384

 4.        Nap Lajoie                  (1896-1916)                496                  334                  375

 5.        Craig Biggio                (1988-       )                 422                  294                  326     

 6.        Charlie Gehringer      (1924-1942)                383                  280                  306

 7.        Roberto Alomar           (1988-2004)                375                  278                  302

 8.        Ryne Sandberg          (1981-1997)                346                  278                  295

 9.        Rod Carew                 (1967-1985)                384                  257                  289

10.       Frankie Frisch            (1919-1937)                366                  256                  284

 

16.       Jackie Robinson        (1947-1956)                257                  257                  257     

 

Ten of these second basemen have a NEWS score of 280 or better while Jackie Robinson has SAG numbers – a score of 255 with less than 1800 games played.  Nine of the eleven are already in the Hall of Fame.  In my view, Roberto Alomar and Craig Biggio should be easy choices for the Hall when they become eligible.

 

Eddie Collins and Rogers Hornsby are easily the best second basemen to ever play the game.  Only thirteen position players in major league history have a NEWS score better than 400 and these two are among them.

 

Note that five of the top ten second basemen played during the first half of the century and five during the second half.

 

 

The Other Second Basemen among the Top 25

 

Here are the other players that I have found who are among the top 25 second basemen of the 20th century.  There is a tie among three players for 25th place so there are sixteen players on this list.

 

                                                                      CWS                 CV                NEWS

 

11.       Bobby Grich                                         329                  253                  272

12.       Jeff Kent                                             313                  252                  267

13.       Lou Whitaker                                       351                  232                  262

14.       Nellie Fox                                           304                  242                  258

15.       Billy Herman                                      298                  243                  257

17.       Larry Doyle                                          289                  240                  252

18.       Willie Randolph                                    312                  220                  243

19.       Bobby Doerr                                      281                  223                  238

20.       Johnny Evers                                     268                  226                  237

21.       Joe Gordon                                          242                  233                  235                 

 

22.       Tony Lazzeri                                       252                  215                  224

23.       Chuck Knoblauch                                 229                  219                  222

24.       Red Schoendienst                              262                  204                  219

25.       Jim Gilliam                                            247                  208                  218

Buddy Myer                                         258                  205                  218

Del Pratt                                               242                  210                  218

 

And here is the only second baseman in the Hall who did not make the list of the top 25.  Of course, there are those who consider Bill Mazeroski to be the best fielding second baseman of all time and deserving of the Hall for that reason alone.        

 

Bill Mazeroski                                   219                  173                  185

 

As you can see, there are seven second basemen in the Hall of Fame who do not have HOF numbers according to the NEWS monitor.

 

Bobby Grich (NEWS = 272) is the top second baseman who does not have HOF numbers.  This will come as no surprise to those fans who for years have argued that he belongs in the Hall of Fame.

 

Jeff Kent is the only active player on the list.  With a NEWS score of 271, he has a chance to reach the benchmark of 280 but he would need at least a couple of very good seasons to do it.

 

Joe Gordon was on the ballot for the 2007 Veteran’s Committee.  He received only 12% of the vote and so does not appear to have any chance of being elected in the future.

 

 

The Third Basemen with Hall of Fame Numbers

 

According to the NEWS HOF monitor, there are only seven third basemen who have HOF numbers.  This is the smallest number at any position except for catcher (where there are six).  Here are the seven.  

 

                                                                                    CWS               CV                 NEWS

 

 1.        Mike Schmidt (1972-1989)                467                  338                  370

 2.        Eddie Mathews          (1952-1968)                450                  333                  362

 3.        George Brett              (1973-1993)                432                  296                  330

 4.        Wade Boggs               (1982-1999)                394                  291                  317

 5.        Ron Santo                    (1960-1974)                324                  275                  287     

 6.        Frank Baker               (1908-1922)                301                  280                  285

 7.        Darrell Evans                (1969-1989)                363                  253                  281

 

Mike Schmidt and Eddie Mathews are the two best third basemen of the 20th century – with George Brett and Wade Boggs not too far behind.  I suspect that these four players being the top four third basemen will come as a surprise to very few fans.

 

Five of these seven players are in the Hall of Fame.  Ron Santo was the top vote-getter in the Veteran’s Committee 2007 election with 69.5%.  Hopefully, he will be elected sometime in the near future.  Darrell Evans is one of those truly underrated players.  Despite being one of only 82 players in the century with a NEWS score of 280, he got only 2% of the vote in his first year on the BBWAA HOF ballot in 1995.  He can now only be elected by the Veteran’s Committee when he becomes eligible.

   

Note that only one of these top seven third basemen played during the first half of the century, Frank Baker.

 

 

The Other Third Basemen in the Top 25

 

Here are the other eighteen players who ranked among the top 25 third basemen of the century.

 

 

 

                                                                        CWS               CV                 NEWS

 

 8.        Brooks Robinson                               356                  247                  274

 9.        Chipper Jones                                     301                  262                  272

10.       Stan Hack                                            316                  256                  271

11.       Sal Bando                                            283                  251                  259

12.       Jimmy Collins                         274                  242                  250     

13.       Heinie Groh                                          272                  243                  250

14.       Bob Elliott                                            287                  236                  249

15.       Graig Nettles                                        321                  224                  248

16.       Ken Boyer                                           279                  235                  246

17.       Pie Traynor                                        274                  228                  240

18.       Ron Cey                                               280             &