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THE REAL HR RANKINGS

By John B. Holway

I commented recently on the New York Times' Dave Anderson's list of the Top 20 hitters in baseball history, as he saw them. Here is Anderson's ranking:

  1 Babe Ruth
  2. Hank Aaron
  3. Willie Mays
  4. Ty Cobb
  5. Lou Gehrig
  6. Joe DiMaggio
  7. Stan Musial
  8. Ted Williams
  9. HonusWagner
10. Jackie Robinson
11. Mickey Mantle
12. Frank Robinson
13. Rogers Hornsby
14. Pete Rose
15. Mark McGwire
16. Cal Ripken Jr
17. Mike Schmidt
18. Johnny Bench
19. Josh Gibson
20. Roberto Clemente

Anderson ranked Williams 8th because he didn't do well in his only World Series.

After giving the list a second look, I find even more flaws than in the first reading. There's the familiar New York bias, for one thing. If Mays, Gehrig, DiMaggio, Jackie Robinson, and Mantle had worn "C" for Cincinnati, "W" for Washington, or "P" for Pittsburgh on their caps, instead of "NY" or (or "B" for Brooklyn), they'd have ranked a lot further down the list, or off it altogether.

Why is Gehrig so high and Jimmie Foxx not on the list at all?

Anderson still exhibits the traditional bias against Negro Leaguers, although they beat the white big leaguers 53 out of every 100 times they played each other. Dave threw Josh Gibson in as #19, and left many other stars off altogether.

He is also fixated on home runs, which are certainly important. He's got Babe Ruth, Hank Aaron, and Willie Mays 1-2-3 on his list, and they are the top three on the all-time home run list too. So, I did a little arithmetic.

We award batting championships to the men who have the most hits per 1,000 at bats, not the most hits, period. So I applied the same principle to home runs. Hank Aaron hit a record 755 homers. If all the men on Anderson's list, and others, had come to bat as often as Aaron, here's how they would rank among those with at least 3,000 at bats:

 Compared
Rank FName LName

 AB

 HR

 to Aaron Notes
1 Mark McGwire        6,187     583         1,165
2 Sadaharu Oh        9,250     868         1,160 **
3 Babe Ruth        8,399     714         1,051
4 Josh Gibson        3,812     292            947 *
5 Barry Bonds        7,932     567            884
6 Ralph Kiner        5,205     369            877
7 Harmon Killebrew        8,147     573            874
8 Sammy Sosa        6,470     450            860
9 Manny Ramirez        3,999     277            856
10 Ken Griffey Jr        6,738     461            846
11 Juan Gonzalez        5,824     397            843
12 Jim Thome        4,160     282            838
13 Ted Williams        7,706     521            837
Mike Piazza        4,638     314            837
15 Hiromitsu Ochiai        7,627     510            827 **
16 Koji Yamamoto        8,052     536            823 **
17 Mickey Mantle        8,102     536            821
18 Dave Kingman        6,677     442            818
19 Mule Suttles        3,664     242            817 *
20 Carlos Delgado        3,475     277            815
Jimmie Foxx        8,134     534            812
Mike Schmidt        8,352     548            811
Jose Canseco        7,057     462            809
Albert Belle        5,893     381            799
Cecil Fielder        5,521     357            799 ****
Alex Rodriquez        3,758     241            793
Hiromitsu Kodota        8,868     567            791 **
Hank Greenberg        5,193     331            788
Willie McCovey        8,197     521            786
30 Frank Thomas        5,542     348            777
Katsuya Nomura       10,478     657            776 **
Jay Buhner        5,013     310            765
33 Hank Aaron       12,364     755            755
Willie Mays       10,881     660            750
Mo Vaughn        4,966     299            744
Ed Mathews        8,537     512            742
Hank Sauer        4,796     288            742
Willie Stargell        7,927     475            741
Turkey Stearnes        3,976     238            740 *
40 Rob Deer        3,881     230            733
Greg Vaughn        5,815     344            731
Frank Howard        6,486     382            728
Daryl Strawberry        5,418     335            728
Frank Robinson       10,006     586            725
Lou Gehrig        8,001     493            715
Bob Horner        3,777     218            714
Rocky Colavito        6,503     374            711
Gus Zernial        4,131     237            709
Reggie Jackson        9,864     563            706
50 Dick Stuart        3,997     228            705
Fred McGriff        7,864     448            704
Duke Snider        7,161     407            703
Gorman Thomas        4,677     268            703
Chipper Jones        4,041     227            695
Johnny Mize        6,443     689            689
Matt Williams        6,651     362            673
Ernie Banks        9,421     512            672
Mel Ott        9,456     511            668
Sachio Kinugasa        9,404     504            645 **
60 Rafael Palmeiro        8,446     447            655
Joe DiMaggio        6,821     361            654
Isao Harimoto        9,666     504            645 **
Johnny Bench        7,658     389            628
Orlando Cepeda        7,927     379            591
Jim Rice        8,225     382            574
Eddie Murray       11,336     504            550
Stan Musial       10,972     472            535
Dave Winfield       11,033     465            523
69 Carl Yastrzmski       11,988     466            466
Cal Ripken       11,551     431            461
Notes:
* Negro Leagues, Cuba, games against white big leaguers
** Japan (with many thanks to Yoichi Nagata)
*** includes Negro League totals
**** Japan plus U.S. majors

This puts Dave's list in a new perspective.

I don't suggest that one Sadaharu Oh home run is equal to one Babe Ruth home run (nor is one Ruth homer equal to one by Honus Wagner). But it ain't exactly peanuts and crackerjacks either. How many other men on the list could hit 1,160 homers in any league?

The Negro Leaguers would have hit less in an integrated league. But so would Ruth, Gehrig, Foxx, and every other white player before 1947.

And I realize that longevity is important. Players with short careers usually missed the older years, when their skills would normally erode pulling their lifetime average down.

Even so. Aaron ranks #33, behind Jay Buhner, and Mays is right behind him. Gehrig is #45 just ahead of Bob Horner. DiMag is #61, and Cal Ripken #70. (Joe would have hit more in a friendlier park; so would Ted.)

To put Mays, Aaron, Gehrig, Joe Di, and Musial ahead of Teddy Ballgame simply cannot be justified. Ted's home run rank -- 13th -- is better than all of them and would be even higher if his big seasons at ages 24-25-26 were included. They were mountain top years. To get an idea of how huge these were, subtract the same ages from everyone else. Ruth would end up with 472 homers, Gehrig with 295 compared to Ted's 521 etc.

We won't even mention Ted's .406 or his lifetime .344, some 40 points above Aaron, Mays, and Mantle.

And what about old Double-X, Jimmie Foxx? When he retired, he and Ruth were the only two men to reach 500. Only a pro-New York bias could put Gehrig #5 and leave Foxx off the top 20 altogether. Lou had that cozy 296-foot fence just three feet high to aim at. If he had worn a "W", his target would have been 30 feet deeper and 30 feet higher. That's like counting only second-tier homers in New York.

As for Ripken, he's been over-rated by the uncritical writers. He hit in the clutch much less than the headlines would lead us to believe. Even in his two putative "MVP" seasons, he was not producing runs when the Orioles needed them in close games. How many pennants did Baltimore win with him in the lineup? One. Way back in 1983. I'm not saying he wasn't good, just that he wasn't as valuable as his adoring press corps suggests. Rip fits more comfortably in the second 20, not the top 20.

And Jackie Robinson ahead of Gibson? Jackie wasn’t a great hitter, he was a great symbol.

Finally, a word about McGwire and Bonds. If Oh and the Negro Leaguers are outside the pale, then these two must be put in a separate closet of their own too.

Do they take steroids? You be the judge.

More on this later.

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