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Part 2 - The Players
3000
Hits – All Have Hall of Fame Numbers
500
Home Runs – Sammy Sosa,
Odd Man Out
300
Win Shares - The New “Rule of Thumb”
“All
In” – Starting Pitchers and the Hall of Fame
The
21st Century Hall of Famers
The
2015 BBWAA Hall of Fame Ballot
Players with 3000 Hits – All Have HOF Numbers
Michael
Hoban, Ph.D.
There has been a “rule of thumb” in baseball for quite
some time that any player who accumulates 3000 hits in his career will be
elected to the Hall of Fame. And the
adage seems to hold true since every player who has 3000 hits and has been
eligible for the Hall of Fame has been elected (with the exception of Rafael
Palmeiro who has been stained by the “steroids scandal”).
But does that mean that every such player really has
HOF numbers according to the CAWS CAREER GAUGE?
Well, yes, it does.
Since 1901, only one hundred sixteen (116) position
players have posted HOF numbers according to the CCG. During this same time frame, only
twenty-seven (27) players accumulated 3000 hits during their careers – Derek
Jeter being the latest in 2011. And, not
surprisingly, every one of them has
HOF numbers according to the CAWS Gauge.
Here are the twenty-seven players and their CAWS numbers. The number preceding the player’s name is his
rank among all 20th century position players.
Bold
= Hall of Famer
CV =
Core Value (sum of win shares for 10 best seasons)
CAWS =
Career Assessment/Win Shares
= CV +
.25(CWS – CV)
CWS CV
CAWS
3. Ty Cobb
CF 722 419 495
4. Honus Wagner SS 655 422 480
5. Willie Mays CF 642 389 452
6. Tris Speaker CF 630 388 449
8. Stan Musial LF 604 378 435
10. Hank Aaron RF 643 356 428
11. Eddie Collins 2B 574 376 426
16. Nap Lajoie 2B 496 334 375
21. Pete Rose
LF 547 307 367
22. Rickey Henderson LF 535 308 365
27. Carl
Yastrzemski LF 488 286 337
29. Paul Waner RF 423 304 334
31. George Brett 3B 432 296 330
32. Craig Biggio 2B 428 294 328
35. Wade Boggs 3B 394 291 317
39. Eddie Murray 1B 437 273 314
40. Cal Ripken Jr SS 427 276 314
41. Robin Yount SS 423 278 314
43. Al Kaline
RF 443 268 312
44. Derek Jeter
SS 380 273 300
48. Paul Molitor DH 414 270 306
61. Dave Winfield RF 415 259 298
63. Roberto
Clemente RF 377 269 296
66. Tony Gwynn RF 398 269 294
72. Rafael Palmeiro 1B 387 257 290
74. Rod Carew 2B 384 257 289
82. Lou Brock
LF 348 264 285
All of these players are in the Hall of Fame except
for Pete Rose and Rafael Palmeiro.
Michael Hoban, Ph.D is Professor Emeritus of mathematics at the City University of N.Y. He has been an avid baseball fan for over 60 years and has become a serious baseball analyst, since joining SABR (Society for American Baseball Research) in 1998. He is the author of five baseball books including: DEFINING GREATNESS: A Hall of Fame Handbook (Booklocker, 2012) BASEBALL'S COMPLETE PLAYERS (McFarland: 2000) and FIELDER'S CHOICE (Booklocker: 2003).