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HELP (Cheat Sheets and Mock Drafts!)
thorough in your preparation. This means
knowing knowing the starting lineups for every team. This
won't draft a player who's been benched, injured, or worse,
what's been going on during the off-season - check
out injuries, rehab and projected starting lineups.
the List. Sort all of the players by
position. I use a spreadsheet*.
rank them by their likely performance this year. Don't
rely too heavily on last years performance. Look for
coming off of injuries or players who were traded to new teams.
young players on their way up over veterans who have memorable
and diminishing talent. Likewise, star players are stars
they keep going and going like the Energizer bunny, so don't
mistake of skipping a truly GREAT player just to be trendy.
to Draft Strategy
Forecasts! It's the Guru's own
cheat sheet with new stats
especially for fanasty baseball drafts.
2020 Season data: mlb2020.xls
-- For the shortened 2020 season, two sets of stats
are given (actual and projected).
PREVIOUS YEARS: mlb2019.xls
2008 Season data by team: mlb2008byteam.xls
and by team: mlb2007byteam.xls
and by team: mlb2005byteam.xls
Batter's Data: bat97.zip
Batters: Years back, the Guru
relied on OPS, which is on base average plus slugging
average to find
talented hitters. The batting data for 1997 and 1998
was sorted using a
secret formula (QOP), based on OPS and his likelihood
to get at bats.
The 1999 data has a new formula (WOPS), replacing QOP,
additionally weights by stolen bases. Looking at 2010,
new stats emerge
and make for awesome forecasts.
Pitcher's Data: pit97.zip
Pitchers: Years, back the Guru
relied heavily on two statistics, described below.
And, the 1997 and
1998 data sets are sorted using a secret formula
(QSO), which brings
some sleepers near the top, but that's not to say that
they make the
safest early round picks. 1999 data doesn't include
data, but the Guru ranked the pitchers in order
for the draft
and provided separate ranks for starters and
1) QS% - % of games started resulting
a quality start. Pitchers scoring high in this
category are the most
reliable fantasy point scorers. This stat also leads
you to next years
sleepers!! Pitchers with high QS% and low IP
last year, often
become stars the next year.
2) SO% - SO per IP demonstrates a
pitchers dominance. Look for relief pitchers with high
SO% and lots of
Saves or starting pitchers with high SO% and QS%.
More data: Guru's
and other data sources.
Hot Stove news feed!
Either add feed to your my google (yahoo, aol,
etc) page or
download free widget to your desktop.
to Date Rookies, Sleepers and Players to
AL Free Agent Tracker
to avoid due to injury - Look for
updates as season approaches.
Factoid: The winning
percentage of the team a pitcher pitches for
correlates higher with a
pitcher's wins and winning percentage than any
of his individual stats.
I gamble on players returning from
injury? In 2000, Andres Galarraga returned and
.302 with 28 dingers and 100 RBI
his injury he batted .305 with 44 HRs and 141 RBI, so
was a drop off, but he was still valuable. Moises Alou returned
.355 with 30 HRs and 114 RBI pretty good! The year
the injury he batted .312 with 38 hrs and 124 RBI. As far
pitchers go, Kerry Wood returned after missing what would have
second year. After a very rocky start, he finished with
a 4.80 ERA
with 132 K's in 137 IP. If you didn't know any better you might
that's pretty good, but before the injury he was a STUD with
a 3.40 ERA and 226 K's in 166.7 IP. So do
a gamble? Don't expect miracles, but unless the injury proves to
disaster as with Doc Gooden for example, expect reasonably
numbers from most of them.
is points!" I hope the meaning isn't
lost in poor grammar because it's valuable information.
not be a fan of a certain player or players of a certain
taking the best available point scorer is usually the way to go.
for Value. This is the exception
to the rule "Points is points." Let's say there are 5 good
players at a position and after that the quality really
You really need to make sure you grab one of those
difference in the number of points you lose by taking player
might be worth more than taking the next available point scorer.
Be sure to mark your draft sheet with comments to avoid
out on players from key positions.
Stick to Your Drafting Strategy.
It's easy to get flustered when other people draft the
you want. And, this is why experienced drafters have a
advantage. Be methodical, when a player is drafted simply cross
of your list. When it's time for your pick take the next
player at that position. There's no sense in getting
over one or two players, it'll spoil the rest of your picks.
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